Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.