Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.11%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 4.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.85%) and 1-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.29%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
84.11% ( 0.12) | 11.14% ( -0.06) | 4.75% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 39.85% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.72% ( -0.01) | 34.28% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.81% ( -0.01) | 56.18% ( 0) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.12% ( 0.02) | 5.88% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.46% ( 0.06) | 22.54% ( -0.07) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.34% ( -0.23) | 57.66% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.59% ( -0.13) | 89.41% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
2-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 7-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 84.1% | 1-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.39% 2-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.4% Total : 11.14% | 0-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 4.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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