Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genoa in this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
50.69% | 23.69% | 25.61% |
Both teams to score 56.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.36% | 44.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33% | 67.01% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% | 17.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.71% | 48.29% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% | 31.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% | 67.54% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.7% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-1 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.82% Total : 25.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
2 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
4 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
6 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |