Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma0 - 1Lazio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 3-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Roma 2-1 Lazio
The Derby della Capitale has seen more red cards than any other fixture in Serie A since the turn of the century, yet there has been just one dismissal in the six most recent meetings between Lazio and Roma. With so much at stake, a more ill-tempered encounter could break out, which might suit the Giallorossi more as Mourinho's pragmatism trumps 'Sarrisimo' again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Lazio |
53.78% ( 0.37) | 23.92% ( -0.08) | 22.3% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
