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Sporting Lisbon
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
Besiktas

Sporting Lisbon
4 - 0
Besiktas

Goncalves (31' pen., 38'), Paulinho (41'), Sarabia (56')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Souza (50'), Larin (50')
Souza (90')

Preview: Sporting Lisbon vs. Besiktas - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sporting Lisbon welcome Besiktas to the Estadio Jose Alvalade for a repeat of their Champions League fixture from two weeks ago.

The two sides came into their previous encounter without a single point to show for their opening two games, but Sporting left Turkey with three points in the bag.


Match preview

Sporting Lisbon's Sebastian Coates celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 23, 2021© Reuters

The Portuguese side's European campaign got off to a nightmare start with a 5-1 hammering at the hands of Group C leaders Ajax, with Sebastian Haller netting four goals as the Sporting defence capitulated.

Despite seemingly sorting out their problems at the back, they could only manage a narrow 1-0 loss away at Borussia Dortmund and so came into the game against Besiktas with their chances of progressing already fading.

An impressive 4-1 win, featuring a brace for defender Sebastian Coates, combined with Ajax's 4-0 rout of Dortmund has dragged them back into contention, though, as they sit three points behind BVB and level on goal difference.

They will be confident of repeating that result two weeks later on home soil, particularly as they now find themselves on a run of six consecutive victories in all competitions.

That run of form has moved the Leoes up to second in Portugal's Primeira Liga, just two points behind leaders Porto and with their prospects of repeating last season's league triumph looking far rosier than a few weeks back.

Besiktas' Cyle Larin celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Besiktas, on the other hand, have seen their hopes of silverware - both on the continent and domestically - fade badly in recent weeks.

The loss to Sporting means they will surely have to win all three remaining games to stand any chance of progressing, and anything but a win here will likely see them struggle even to claim a conciliatory Europa League spot via third in the group.

Things have not been going much better in the Super Lig either, where an effective six-pointer against Hatayspor last weekend ended in a narrow 1-0 loss and saw Sergen Yalcin's side slip back to fourth in the table.

Their 2-1 win against Galatasaray last Monday - where a Cyle Larin brace turned around an initial one-goal deficit - is a rarity that has come along with five losses in their last seven games.

Yalcin will have to do something to motivate his men on Wednesday if they are to end this current run and beat Sporting for the first time.

Sporting Lisbon Champions League form:
  • L
  • L
  • W

Sporting Lisbon form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Besiktas Champions League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L

Besiktas form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Miralem Pjanic pictured for Bosnia in March 2021© Reuters

The hosts have a pretty clean bill of health, with Tiago Tomas the only current injury concern.

Brazilian forward Tabata, who sustained a knee injury in a game against Aurora a little under a month ago, returned via a substitute appearance in the win over Vitoria de Guimaraes at the weekend.

Coates is set to remain as part of a back three and will look to add to his incredible run of four goals in the last four games.

Chelsea loanee Michy Batshuayi came off injured in the first half of the visitors' loss to Hatayspor and looks very unlikely to return in time for Wednesday's game.

He joins important midfielder Miralem Pjanic as well as Valentin Rosier, Georges-Kevin Nkoudou and Ajdin Hasic in the treatment room.

Sporting Lisbon possible starting lineup:
Adan; Inacio, Coates, Feddal; Porro, Palhinha, Nunes, Reis; Pote, Sarabia; Paulinho

Besiktas possible starting lineup:
Destanoglu; N'Sakala, Wellinton, Vida, Yilmaz; Ghezzal, Ucan, Josef, Hutchinson, Larin; Karaman


SM words green background

We say: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Besiktas

Sporting will be high on confidence heading into the match, whilst their opponents are in turmoil and missing some crucial players. We can only see one result here, with at least a two-goal victory for the hosts.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Besiktas win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Besiktas

Sporting Lisbon
81.1%
Draw
12.4%
Besiktas
6.5%
217
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