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World Cup
San Marino national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Jun 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Austria national football team

San Marino
0 - 4
Austria


(73'), Riccardi (74')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Arnautovic (3', 15'), Gregoritsch (11'), Baumgartner (27')
Ballo (59')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Europe Group Stage clash between San Marino and Austria.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bosnia H'vina 1-0 San Marino
Saturday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Austria

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-1 Romania
Saturday, June 7 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 83.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 4.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.82%) and 0-1 (11.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.48%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawAustria
4.43% (0.178 0.18) 11.92% (0.185 0.19) 83.65% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 34.12% (0.703 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (0.073 0.07)40.3% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (0.074000000000005 0.07)62.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.76% (0.782 0.78)63.24% (-0.778 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.78% (0.3551 0.36)92.22% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.82% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)7.18% (0.0641 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.9% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)26.1% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    San Marino 4.43%
    Austria 83.64%
    Draw 11.92%
San MarinoDrawAustria
1-0 @ 2.08% (0.049 0.05)
2-1 @ 1.26% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 4.43%
1-1 @ 5.48% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.65% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 11.92%
0-2 @ 15.75% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-3 @ 13.82% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-1 @ 11.96% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
0-4 @ 9.1% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 6.34% (0.086 0.09)
0-5 @ 4.79% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
1-4 @ 4.17% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-5 @ 2.2% (0.015 0.02)
0-6 @ 2.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.058 0.06)
1-6 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 83.64%

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