Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.05) 
