MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 08:43:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 12pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Arminia Bielefeld logos

St Pauli
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Hartel (53'), Daschner (69')
Saad (20'), Metcalfe (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Consbruch (73')
Ramos (16'), Andrade (33'), Klos (69')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Arminia Bielefeld.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last Game: Hamburger SV 4-3 St Pauli
Friday, April 21 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Hannover
Saturday, April 22 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawArminia Bielefeld
61.56% (0.617 0.62) 21.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 17.09% (-0.577 -0.58)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-1.061 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.825 -0.83)45.07% (0.828 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (-0.798 -0.8)67.42% (0.8 0.8)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)14.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.25% (-0.152 -0.15)41.75% (0.155 0.16)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-1.178 -1.18)39.78% (1.182 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (-1.104 -1.1)76.45% (1.107 1.11)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 61.56%
    Arminia Bielefeld 17.09%
    Draw 21.34%
St PauliDrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.44% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 61.56%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.34%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.09%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 13
Arminia Bielefeld
2-0
St Pauli
Serra (76', 84')
Lepinjica (17')
Dec 21, 2019 12pm
gameweek 18
St Pauli
3-0
Arminia Bielefeld
Veerman (3', 25'), Gyokeres (54')
Zander (60')
Jul 29, 2019 7.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-1
St Pauli
Prietl (90')
Behrendt (56'), Prietl (69')
Joe Conteh (32')
Miyaichi (79'), Hoffmann (90')
Apr 14, 2019 12.30pm
gameweek 29
St Pauli
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Miyaichi (48')
Yi-young (4'), Buchtmann (56'), Carstens (75')
Klos (5' pen.)
Voglsammer (45'), Behrendt (60'), Weihrauch (64')
Nov 4, 2018 12.30pm
gameweek 12
Arminia Bielefeld
1-2
St Pauli
Staude (7')
Staude (14'), Klos (54'), Lucoqui (82')
Knoll (49' pen.), Moller Daehli (55')
Nehrig (90'), Moller Daehli (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf7520114717
2Magdeburg7430157815
3Karlsruher SCKarlsruher74301611515
4Hannover741294513
5SC PaderbornSC Paderborn7340139413
6Hamburger SV7331168812
7Hertha Berlin73131112-110
8FC Koln7232181359
9Elversberg723213949
10Greuther Furth723211839
11KaiserslauternKaiserslautern72321112-19
12SSV UlmUlm72149907
13Schalke 04Schalke72141417-37
14Nuremberg7214814-67
15Preussen Munster7124913-45
16SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt7124916-75
17Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig7115719-124
18Jahn RegensburgJahn7115116-154
> 2.Bundesliga Full Table


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