This is a very close one to call, as both sides are currently on the up and carrying solid form into the match.
The visitors, though, have an excellent away record, scoring two or more goals in four of their last five matches on the road, while the hosts have conceded in each of their last four home games.
On those grounds, we are going for Elfsborg to win by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
0.69) 
-0.08) 
