Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11

Jun 27, 2022 at 6pm UK

Guldfageln Arena

Kalmar
1 - 0
Varnamo

Saetra (5')
Saetra (45+3'), Gustafsson (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Magashy (34'), Wenderson (49'), Becirovic (87')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Varnamo
46.47% ( 0.24)	26.79% ( 0.23)	26.74% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 48.04% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.61% (

-1.1)

56.38% (

1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

-0.9)

77.4% (

0.89)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

-0.37)

24.24% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.4% (

-0.52)

58.6% (

0.52)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.41% (

-0.98)

36.59% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.62% (

-1)

73.38% (

Score Analysis

Kalmar 46.46%

Varnamo 26.74%

Draw 26.78%

Kalmar	Draw	Varnamo
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.46%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.84% Total : 26.74%