MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 10:17:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15
Jul 19, 2024 at 6pm UK
Studenternas IP
Malmo

Sirius
3 - 4
Malmo

Walta (34'), Vikman (45+1'), Persson (78')
Vikman (8')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nanasi (60'), Bolin (72'), Kiese Thelin (83'), Zatterstrom (87')
Nanasi (68'), Rieks (88'), Jansson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sirius 3-1 GAIS
Saturday, July 13 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 2-1 Malmo
Saturday, July 13 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Sirius 1-2 Malmo

Malmo hit a bump in the road last time out and will be keen to get themselves back on track with all three points here. While we expect Sirius to put up a good fight, we are backing the visitors to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 58.31%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 20.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Sirius win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
SiriusDrawMalmo
20.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 20.72% (0.026 0.03) 58.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)36.03% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.87% (-0.107 -0.11)58.13% (0.11 0.11)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)30.38% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)66.57% (0.050999999999988 0.05)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)12.19% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.15% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)37.85% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Sirius 20.98%
    Malmo 58.31%
    Draw 20.72%
SiriusDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 5.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.63% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 20.98%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 8.2% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.8% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 4.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 58.31%

How you voted: Sirius vs Malmo

Sirius
13.2%
Draw
18.4%
Malmo
68.4%
38
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 6.10pm
Gameweek 21
Sirius
1-3
Malmo
Abou Ali (45+1')
Voelkerling-Persson (62')
Cornelius (2'), Berg (28'), Ali (74')
Lewicki (43'), Cornelius (81')
Jul 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
Malmo
3-0
Sirius
Kiese Thelin (5', 47' pen.), Nanasi (55')

Nwadike (44'), Sjogrell (89')
Nwadike (47')
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 17
Sirius
2-1
Malmo
Mathisen (45'), Kouakou (57')
Mathisen (15'), Voelkerling-Persson (49'), Bjorkstrom (72')
Jul 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Malmo
3-1
Sirius
Sejdiu (33', 89'), Zeidan (52')
Rogic (87' pen.)
Widgren (18'), Stensson (32')
Widgren (49')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Sirius
2-3
Malmo
Girmai (51'), Sylisufaj (53')
Widgren (89')
Inge Berget (49' pen.), Colak (76', 90+2')
Ahmedhodzic (20'), Rieks (45'), Innocent (51'), Abubakari (53'), Dahlin (54'), Larsson (75'), Colak (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo29188365244162
2HammarbyHammarby29166748242454
3AIK FotbollAIK29163104140151
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden2915594234850
5Mjallby AIF2913884335847
6GAISGAIS29136103433145
7ElfsborgElfsborg29135115244844
8HackenHacken29126115450442
9SiriusSirius29125124644241
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna29810114551-634
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2997133554-1934
12Halmstads BKHalmstad29103163145-1433
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg29710123342-931
14Varnamo2979133040-1030
15KalmarKalmar2976163758-2127
16Vasteras SKVasteras2955192543-1820


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