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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 14, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Moreirense

Braga
2 - 1
Moreirense

Ruiz (41'), Novais (90+5' pen.)
Fransergio (36'), Elmusrati (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martins (87')
Ferraresi (30'), Franco (32'), Pires (79'), Simao (90+2')

Preview: Braga vs. Moreirense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Braga play host to Moreirense on Friday evening looking to end a four-match winless streak having already confirmed fourth spot in the Primeira Liga standings.

After guaranteeing their place in the Portuguese top flight for another 12 months, Moreirense will now try to finish the campaign in sixth position.


Match preview

Braga head coach Carlos Carvalhal pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Despite the security of fourth spot and a place in next season's Europa League, Carlos Carvalhal will be bitterly disappointed with Braga's form since the middle of March.

Just 11 points have been collected from 10 fixtures, subsequently leaving the club well adrift of third-placed Benfica, who will claim the final Champions League spot.

While Carvalhal can have few complaints with a backline which has continued to perform to a high level, just four goals have been scored in their last six outings.

Top goalscorer Ricardo Horta ended his two-month wait for a goal against Gil Vicente, netting during the early stages before his side were pegged back by their hosts.

With their remaining fixtures against two mid-table sides, Carvalhal will hope that his players can give supporters reason to be optimistic ahead of next season.

The same applies to visitors Moreirense, who have also only recorded two victories from their last 10 fixtures in the Portuguese top flight.

On the back of five matches without success, Moreirense returned to winning ways on Monday with a 2-1 triumph at Portimonense.

Nahuel Ferraresi again got on the scoresheet, the defender having now scored three times in his most recent four appearances.

Sitting just two points adrift of sixth position, head coach Vasco Seabra will demand that his team raise their level against their upcoming opponents and in-form Famalicao.

Braga Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Braga's Paulinho celebrates scoring against Leicester City in the Europa League on November 26, 2020© Reuters

Despite the frustration of the last match, Carvalhal is unlikely to make major alterations to his Braga starting lineup.

Joao Novais is an option in midfield, while Lucas Piazon could be handed a recall if Carvalhal switches to a back four.

Seabra is likely to take a similar approach when naming his Moreirense side after their victory on Monday.

Yan is an alternative to Felipe Pires on the left flank, but Jefferson Galego may have to wait for his first start of the campaign.

The same applies to Sori Mane, who made his first outing of the season as a substitute against Portimonense.

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Esgaio, Tormena, Sequeira, Galeno; Horta, Musrati, Novais; Ruiz, Fransergio, Piazon

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Kewin; Ferraresi, Rosic, Ba, Conte; Franco, Pacheco, Simao; Walterson, Luis, Yan


SM words green background

We say: Braga 2-1 Moreirense

As a result of Braga's indifferent form of late, Moreirense will be confident of claiming all three points on Friday evening.

Nevertheless, Carvalhal will reiterate to his Braga players that they are playing for their futures, a demand which could inspire an improved performance.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Braga vs Moreirense

Braga
59.6%
Draw
17.5%
Moreirense
22.8%
57
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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