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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Dec 15, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Dortmund logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Dortmund

Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
12.75%17.14%70.11%
Both teams to score 55.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.33%34.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.38%56.62%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91%39.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2%75.8%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15%8.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.69%30.3%
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 12.75%
    Borussia Dortmund 70.1%
    Draw 17.14%
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 3.7%
1-0 @ 3.25%
2-0 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.41%
3-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 12.75%
1-1 @ 7.88%
2-2 @ 4.49%
0-0 @ 3.46%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.14%
0-2 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-1 @ 8.39%
0-3 @ 8.22%
1-3 @ 7.72%
0-4 @ 4.99%
1-4 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 3.63%
0-5 @ 2.42%
1-5 @ 2.27%
2-4 @ 2.2%
2-5 @ 1.07%
0-6 @ 0.98%
1-6 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 70.1%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Dortmund

Werder Bremen
13.6%
Draw
27.1%
Borussia Dortmund
59.3%
118
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Werder Bremen
3-2
Dortmund
Selke (16'), Bittencourt (30'), Rashica (70')
Bittencourt (23'), Moisander (85')
Braut Haaland (67'), Reyna (78')
Schulz (49'), Reus (64'), Reyna (85')
Sep 28, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Dortmund
2-2
Werder Bremen
Gotze (9'), Reus (41')
Weigl (68')
Rashica (7'), Friedl (55')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
2-2
Dortmund
Mohwald (70'), Pizarro (75')
Klaassen (33'), Friedl (39')
Pulisic (6'), Alcacer (41')
Weigl (80')
Feb 5, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Dortmund
3-3
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen win 4-2 on penalties
Reus (45'), Pulisic (105'), Hakimi (113')
Weigl (43'), Bruun Larsen (105')
Rashica (5'), Pizarro (108'), Harnik (119')
Klaassen (113'), Moisander (113')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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