Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match.

Result
Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
34.5% ( 0.3)	24.95% ( 0.07)	40.55% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 57.63% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

-0.28)

45.69% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99% (

-0.27)

68.01% (

0.27)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32% (

0.05)

25.69% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.4% (

0.06)

60.6% (

-0.06)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.55% (

-0.3)

22.45% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.01% (

-0.46)

55.99% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Meizhou Hakka 34.5%

Wuhan Three Towns 40.55%

Draw 24.94%

Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.5%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.55%