Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match.