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Brazil national football team
Copa America | Semi-Finals
Jul 6, 2021 at 12am UK
 
Peru national football team

Brazil
1 - 0
Peru

Paqueta (35')
Junior (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yotun (56'), Lopez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Brazil and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in their Copa America semi-final with Peru.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Peru had a probability of 10.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.93%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match.

Result
BrazilDrawPeru
67.3%21.96%10.74%
Both teams to score 34.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.64%59.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.26%79.75%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94%17.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77%47.23%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.78%58.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.29%89.72%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 67.29%
    Peru 10.74%
    Draw 21.96%
BrazilDrawPeru
1-0 @ 17.56%
2-0 @ 15.53%
3-0 @ 9.16%
2-1 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 4.95%
4-0 @ 4.05%
4-1 @ 2.19%
5-0 @ 1.43%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 67.29%
0-0 @ 9.93%
1-1 @ 9.5%
2-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.96%
0-1 @ 5.37%
1-2 @ 2.57%
0-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 10.74%

How you voted: Brazil vs Peru

Brazil
Peru
Brazil
80.6%
Peru
19.4%
355
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Brazil
4-0
Peru
Sandro (12'), Neymar (68'), Ribeiro (89'), Richarlison (90+3')
Jesus (59')

Ramos (23'), Yotun (44'), Tavara (82')
Oct 14, 2020 1am
Group Stage
Peru
2-4
Brazil
Carrillo (5'), Tapia (59')
Neymar (28' pen., 83', 90+4'), Richarlison (64')
Sep 11, 2019 4am
International Friendlies
Brazil
0-1
Peru
Jul 7, 2019 9pm
Jun 22, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Peru
0-5
Brazil
rhs 2.0
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