Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de La Juventud
Xerez0 - 1Ceuta
Portoles Irigoyen (69'), Lopez Matellan (81')
Barba Jimenez (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aquino (7')
Corral Herranz (38'), Gonzalez (88')
Corral Herranz (38'), Gonzalez (88')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Xerez and Ceuta.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Xerez win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Xerez win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Ceuta win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Xerez | Draw | Ceuta |
48.35% ( -0.1) | 28.42% ( 0.35) | 23.23% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 40.96% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.04% ( -1.22) | 63.96% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.85% ( -0.88) | 83.15% ( 0.88) |
| Xerez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -0.62) | 26.76% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.96% ( -0.82) | 62.04% ( 0.82) |
| Ceuta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.92% ( -0.96) | 44.08% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.82% ( -0.8) | 80.19% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
Xerez 48.33%
Ceuta 23.23%
Draw 28.4%
| Xerez | Draw | Ceuta |
| 1-0 @ 15.54% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.76% Total : 48.33% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.44% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.23% |
How you voted: Xerez vs Ceuta
Xerez
80.0%Draw
20.0%Ceuta
0.0%5
