Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CRB win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a CRB win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.