Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Mansiche
Atletico Grau0 - 0Garcilaso
Sandoval (27'), Franco (57')
FT
Fuentes (1')
Fuentes (63')
Atletico Grau win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Atletico Grau and Real Garcilaso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Atletico Grau
Tuesday, February 25 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, February 25 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Grau win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Real Garcilaso had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Grau win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Real Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Grau | Draw | Real Garcilaso |
65.63% ( 0.17) | 20.14% ( -0.08) | 14.23% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.73% ( 0.15) | 45.27% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.39% ( 0.14) | 67.61% ( -0.14) |
| Atletico Grau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( 0.09) | 12.96% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.55% ( 0.19) | 39.45% ( -0.2) |
| Real Garcilaso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.05) | 43.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.12% ( -0.04) | 79.87% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Grau 65.63%
Real Garcilaso 14.23%
Draw 20.14%
| Atletico Grau | Draw | Real Garcilaso |
| 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 65.63% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.14% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 14.23% |
