Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
