MX23RW : Tuesday, May 13 19:11:32| >> :600:126700:126700:
FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Amlin Stadium

Erith Town
6 - 2
Pagham

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Erith Town and Pagham.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erith Town win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Pagham had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Erith Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 3-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Pagham win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Erith Town would win this match.

Result
Erith TownDrawPagham
56.37% (0.78 0.78) 20.41% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 23.21% (-0.84 -0.84)
Both teams to score 65.65% (-1.334 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.41% (-1.265 -1.27)31.59% (1.264 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.91% (-1.504 -1.5)53.08% (1.501 1.5)
Erith Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.68% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)11.32% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.02% (-0.431 -0.43)35.97% (0.42899999999999 0.43)
Pagham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-1.336 -1.34)25.97% (1.334 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-1.835 -1.84)60.99% (1.832 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Erith Town 56.37%
    Pagham 23.22%
    Draw 20.41%
Erith TownDrawPagham
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.148 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.368 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.4% (0.386 0.39)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.23 0.23)
3-2 @ 4.61% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.51% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.036 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 56.37%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.204 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.41%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 23.22%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Erith Town
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal361814466333368
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle362061068452366
4Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
5Chelsea36189962431963
6Aston Villa3618995649763
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest361881056441262
8Brentford361671363531055
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Bournemouth3614111155431253
11Fulham36149135150151
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton36915123944-542
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham361010164259-1740
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd36109174253-1139
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs36115206359438
RIpswich TownIpswich36410223577-4222
RLeicester CityLeicester3657243178-4722
RSouthampton3626282582-5712


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