Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aubagne win with a probability of 47.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aubagne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aubagne in this match.
0.07) 
-0.02) 
