Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dassendorf win with a probability of 62.23%. A win for St Pauli II had a probability of 19.04% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dassendorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest St Pauli II win was 1-2 (4.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.