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Championship | Gameweek 38
Jun 20, 2020 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Hull City
0 - 1
Charlton


Batty (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pearce (18')
Oshilaja (39'), Williams (90'), Pratley (90+2')

Preview: Hull City vs. Charlton Athletic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship match between Hull City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Relegation-threatened Hull City play host to fellow strugglers Charlton Athletic at the KCOM Stadium for Saturday's bottom-of-the-table Championship clash.

The two teams have each suffered three consecutive league defeats heading into the match, and both sides are in desperate need of wins should they have any hope of avoiding the drop to League One.


Match preview

Grant McCann in charge of Hull City on August 3, 2019© Reuters

Following their 5-1 thrashing at the hands of Stoke City last weekend, Grant McCann's side are in a perilous position at the foot of the table, only two points clear of the relegation zone in 21st.

The Tigers have now lost four Championship games on the bounce, and are the only team in England's second tier without a win in their previous six matches despite their promising early-season form.

In that time, Hull have conceded a staggering 19 goals in their last six league matches, including nine in their previous two against Stoke and Leeds United. Only Luton Town (71) have shipped more goals than McCann's side (63) this season.

It could be argued that the loss of Jarrod Bowen to West Ham United has had a significant impact on the former Premier League outfit, who have not chalked up a league win since New Year's Day.

Should other results favour the Tigers this weekend, they could climb as high as 17th with a victory in front of their own fans. A loss to Charlton would see McCann's side drop below their relegation rivals into 22nd.

Charlton boss Lee Bowyer on February 8, 2020© Reuters

Charlton's 1-0 defeat against fellow relegation candidates Middlesbrough was a harsh reality check for Lee Bowyer, and recent off-the-field issues at The Valley have rubbed salt into the former midfielder's wounds.

A bitter dispute over funding with director Tahnoon Nimer has done little to help Charlton's cause, who are winless and goalless in their last three matches.

Prior to their home defeat against Jonathan Woodgate's side, the Addicks suffered losses away to Huddersfield Town and Sheffield Wednesday as they lie 22nd in the table on 39 points.

The stats do not lie heavily in Bowyer's favour heading to the KCOM Stadium, as Charlton have only won three times on their travels all season, with two of those coming in August.

Since then, their only victory on the road came against Nottingham Forest last month, however they are facing a Tigers team who coincidentally have the worst home form in the Championship.

Bowyer's side cannot drop any further down the table, but could potentially rise three places to 19th with a win depending on results elsewhere.

Charlton goalkeeper Dillon Phillips's last-minute own goal salvaged a point for Hull in a 2-2 draw at The Valley in December.

Hull City Championship form: LDLLLL

Charlton Athletic Championship form: WLWLLL


Team News

Charlton Athletic's Naby Sarr celebrates scoring their second goal on December 21, 2019© Reuters

Hull have had a vast array of injuries to contend with over the season, however McCann has confirmed that a couple of players could be back in action at the weekend.

The Tigers boss refused to name names, but Jordy de Wijs and Jon Toral are both believed to be close to a return.

Saturday's match will be too soon for Reece Burke and Josh Bowler, while Tom Eaves, Eric Lichaj, Herbie Kane and James Scott all remain out for the season.

Charlton defender Naby Sarr could potentially make a return to the squad for the relegation crunch match, while fellow centre-back Tom Lockyer returns from a two-game suspension.

Long-term absentees Jonathan Leko, Lewis Page and Sam Field are all unavailable, while Deji Oshilaja is likely to make way for Lockyer in the heart of defence.

Hull City possible starting lineup:
Long; McKenzie, Pennington, McLoughlin, Elder; Maddison, Batty, Lopes, Irvine, Honeyman; Magennis

Charlton Athletic possible starting lineup:
Phillips; Matthews, Lockyer, Pearce, Doughty; Pratley, Cullen, Davis, McGeady; Green, Taylor


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Hull City 0-1 Charlton Athletic

Both sides will be aware of what good a victory could do to their survival hopes this weekend. However, Hull's dismal home record coupled with Charlton's slight resurgence of form means that we're going for a narrow victory for Lee Bowyer's men.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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