Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
