J1 League | Gameweek 1

Feb 18, 2023 at 5am UK

Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 2
Albirex Niigata

Tameda (28'), Okuno (75')
Maikuma (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Taniguchi (22'), Chiba (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
44.32% ( -0.25)	25.21% ( 0.05)	30.47% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 55.25% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.86% (

-0.12)

48.14% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.7% (

-0.11)

70.29% (

0.1)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

-0.16)

21.72% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.12% (

-0.25)

54.88% (

0.24)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

0.08)

29.43% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57% (

0.1)

65.43% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 44.32%

Albirex Niigata 30.48%

Draw 25.2%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.32%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.48%