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J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)

Machida Zelvia
2 - 1
Cerezo

Oh (70'), Duke (90+3')
Hayashi (27'), Sento (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ceara (84' pen.)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-4 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawCerezo Osaka
32.81%27.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 39.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.16% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)56.38% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)77.4% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)32.01% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)68.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)27.71% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)63.27% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 32.8%
    Cerezo Osaka 39.78%
    Draw 27.41%
Machida ZelviaDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.8%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 7.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 39.78%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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