J1 League | Gameweek 14
May 15, 2024 at 11am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)
Machida Zelvia2 - 1Cerezo
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Cerezo Osaka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League
Saturday, May 11 at 7am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Cerezo 1-4 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Machida Zelvia | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
32.81% | 27.42% ( 0.01) | 39.78% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.16% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.62% ( -0.05) | 56.38% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.61% ( -0.04) | 77.4% ( 0.04) |
Machida Zelvia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% ( -0.02) | 32.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.53% ( -0.03) | 68.47% ( 0.03) |
Cerezo Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% ( -0.03) | 27.71% ( 0.03) |