Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.