Derry

2 - 0

Waterford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.