MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 03:08:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
University College Dublin
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 36
Nov 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
UCD Bowl
Dundalk

UCD
1 - 5
Dundalk

Gallagher (6')
Dempsey (12'), Clancy (45+2'), Brennan (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doyle (33'), Horgan (64'), Kelly (68'), Hoban (70', 86')
Hoban (13'), Sloggett (75')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 3-2 UCD
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Bohemians
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 78.55%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.23%) and 0-1 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawDundalk
7.32% (0.012 0.01) 14.14% (0.164 0.16) 78.55% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 44.35% (-0.597 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.37% (-0.79 -0.79)37.63% (0.793 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.13% (-0.854 -0.85)59.87% (0.857 0.86)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.05% (-0.532 -0.53)51.95% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.03% (-0.35 -0.35)85.97% (0.355 0.36)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.29% (-0.212 -0.21)7.71% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.53% (-0.551 -0.55)27.47% (0.555 0.56)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 7.32%
    Dundalk 78.54%
    Draw 14.14%
University College DublinDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 2.62% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 2.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 7.32%
1-1 @ 6.72% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 14.14%
0-2 @ 13.15% (0.22 0.22)
0-3 @ 11.23% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.274 0.27)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.36% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 7.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.71% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-5 @ 3.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 2.42% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-6 @ 1.58% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-6 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 78.54%

How you voted: UCD vs Dundalk

University College Dublin
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Dundalk
100%
5
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 19
Dundalk
4-1
UCD
Hoban (23' pen., 53', 69'), Kelly (41')
Leahy (68'), Boyle (80')
Doyle (7')
May 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
UCD
0-2
Dundalk
Martin (35'), O'Kane (90+4')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Dundalk
1-1
UCD
Martin (34')
Behan (78')
Sep 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
UCD
3-2
Dundalk
Lonergan (51', 87'), Duffy (79')
Ward (39'), Bradley (57')
Jul 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Dundalk
3-0
UCD
McMillan (51'), Adams (57'), Ward (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!