Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
-0.8) 
0.22) 
