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Women's FA Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 14, 2024 at 2.35pm UK
Old Trafford

Man Utd Women
2 - 1
Chelsea Women

Garcia (1'), Deman (23')
Turner (45+5'), Garcia (68'), Mannion (77'), Parris (78'), Earps (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
James (45+4')
James (45+5')

Preview: Manchester United Women vs. Chelsea Women - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Manchester United Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

On Sunday, Manchester United Women will face holders Chelsea Women in the Women's FA Cup semi-finals at Leigh Sports Village.

The last time that the two sides faced off in the FA Cup was in last season's final when Sam Kerr scored the winning goal to lead Chelsea to a 1-0 victory.


Match preview

Manchester United Women's Lisa Naalsund celebrates scoring their second goal with Hannah Blundell on March 17, 2024© Reuters

Manchester United have experienced an underwhelming season, including an early exit from the Champions League and a failure to make it out of the League Cup group stage.

The Red Devils have also struggled for consistency in the WSL, with Marc Skinner's side currently sitting in fourth spot and six points adrift from the top three.

Nevertheless, Man United still have the opportunity to make the campaign one to remember if they can lift their first-ever major trophy.

The Red Devils are competing in the semi-finals after following wins over Newcastle United and Southampton with a commanding 4-0 victory in the last eight against fellow WSL side Brighton & Hove Albion.

Man United are now just one game away from reaching back-to-back finals, but will have their work cut out to seal a place at Wembley, having failed to win any of their 11 competitive matches against Chelsea.

Chelsea Women manager Emma Hayes on March 19, 2024© Reuters

The Blues saw their quadruple hopes quashed by a 1-0 extra-time defeat in the League Cup final against Arsenal prior to the international break.

However, Chelsea still have the opportunity to win three pieces of silverware in Emma Hayes's final season in charge before she leaves to become the new head coach of the USA Women's national team.

Hayes has led Chelsea to their fourth consecutive FA Cup semi-final after overseeing an extra-time win against West Ham United as well as narrow 1-0 victories over Crystal Palace and Everton.

The five-time winners of the competition will go into Sunday's clash as the favourites, especially as they have won each of their last nine competitive away matches.

Chelsea have also won each of their previous eight matches against Man United, including a 3-1 victory in January's league meeting at Stamford Bridge.

Manchester United Women Women's FA Cup form:
  • W
  • W
  • W

Manchester United Women form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Chelsea Women Women's FA Cup form:
  • W
  • W
  • W

Chelsea Women form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L


Team News

Manchester United Women manager Marc Skinner on March 23, 2024© Reuters

Man United remain without the services of Gabby George, Emma Watson and Jess Simpson, with the trio all working on their recoveries from anterior cruciate ligament injuries.

Having reported no fresh injury concerns, Skinner could be tempted to select the same side that started the commanding 4-1 win over Everton before the international break.

Leah Galton and Hinata Miyazawa are likely to be used from the bench after the pair returned from injury to feature as substitutes against the Toffees.

As for the FA Cup holders, they still have to cope without the services of Maren Mjelde, Aniek Nouwen, Mia Fishel and Kerr.

Millie Bright has stepped up her recovery from a knee injury, but the Chelsea defender is still some way off from returning to action.

Lauren James will continue to offer one of Chelsea's main attacking threats, having scored 15 goals in 25 competitive appearances this season.


Manchester United Women possible starting lineup:
Earps; Mannion, Le Tissier, Turner, Blundell; Naalsund, Zelem; Geyse, Toone, Garcia; Parris

Chelsea Women possible starting lineup:
Hampton; Perisset, Carter, Buchanan, Charles; Cuthbert, Leupolz; Rytting Kaneryd, Nusken, James; Ramirez


SM words green background

We say: Manchester United Women 1-3 Chelsea Women

Man United may have won five consecutive home games, but we think that they will fall short against a Chelsea side that has won nine straight away matches and is targeting a fourth consecutive FA Cup final appearance.


Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 45%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.




ID:541256:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8847:
Written by
Ben Sully

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