Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.