Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
49.11% | 23.48% | 27.41% |
Both teams to score 59.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.77% | 42.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.37% | 64.64% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.64% | 17.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.25% | 47.75% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% | 28.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% | 64.37% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.91% Total : 49.11% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |