National League North | Gameweek 17
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford2 - 0Southport
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Southport.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Southport
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Southport |
47.77% ( 1.58) | 25.84% ( -0.54) | 26.39% ( -1.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( 1.44) | 53.02% ( -1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( 1.21) | 74.61% ( -1.22) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( 1.34) | 22.2% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.39% ( 1.97) | 55.61% ( -1.98) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( -0.07) | 35.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.2% ( -0.08) | 71.8% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Hereford United 47.77%
Southport 26.39%
Draw 25.83%
| Hereford United | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.08% Total : 26.39% |
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Hereford
0-1
Southport
Oliver (51' pen.)
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Southport
2-0
Hereford
Archer (52'), Woods (85')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Form Guide
