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National League North | Gameweek 17
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
2 - 0
Southport

Barnett (79' pen.), Jarvis (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Southport
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawSouthport
47.77% (1.575 1.58) 25.84% (-0.542 -0.54) 26.39% (-1.038 -1.04)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.812 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (1.439 1.44)53.02% (-1.441 -1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (1.21 1.21)74.61% (-1.215 -1.22)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (1.337 1.34)22.2% (-1.34 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39% (1.973 1.97)55.61% (-1.977 -1.98)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)35.05% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)71.8% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 47.77%
    Southport 26.39%
    Draw 25.83%
Hereford UnitedDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 11.71% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.191 0.19)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.273 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.268 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.138 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.167 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.162 0.16)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.491 -0.49)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.266 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Hereford
0-1
Southport
Oliver (51' pen.)
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Southport
2-0
Hereford
Archer (52'), Woods (85')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Hereford
P-P
Southport
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Southport
0-0
Hereford
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chorley179532819932
2Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1794426121431
3Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1693421111030
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1785431141729
5Alfreton TownAlfreton168532215729
6Buxton189182921828
7Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
8Brackley Town168351913627
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn178362019127
10Chester FCChester167451816225
11SouthportSouthport177462529-425
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor176652519624
13Leamington FCLeamington166552216623
14Darlington175751818022
15South Shields177191927-822
16Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports176381823-521
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath155551919020
18Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic176291826-820
19Warrington Town174671723-618
20Oxford CityOxford City174672431-718
21RadcliffeRadcliffe174582130-917
22Marine AFC16349721-1413
23Needham Market1733111231-1912
24Rushall Olympic1632111630-1411
> National League North Full Table


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