Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Braintree Town |
54.01% ( 0.59) | 23.42% ( -0.19) | 22.57% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.57% ( 0.39) | 46.43% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( 0.37) | 68.71% ( -0.37) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% ( 0.36) | 17.11% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.69% ( 0.63) | 47.31% ( -0.63) |
Braintree Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.22% ( -0.14) | 34.78% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.49% ( -0.15) | 71.52% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Braintree Town |
1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 54% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |