Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2021 at 8.30am UK

Sapporo Dome

Chile Women
1 - 2
Canada Women

Araya (57' pen.)
Pardo (18'), Lopez (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Beckie (39', 47')
Scott (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Women's Football clash between Chile Women and Canada Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Chile Women had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Chile Women win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada Women would win this match.

Result
Chile Women	Draw	Canada Women
27.95%	25.61%	46.44%

Both teams to score 52.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87%

51.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02%

72.98%

Chile Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19%

32.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63%

69.37%

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78%

22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68%

55.32%

Score Analysis

Chile Women 27.95%

Canada Women 46.43%

Draw 25.61%

Chile Women	Draw	Canada Women
1-0 @ 8.05% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.95%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.27% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.43%