Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Nissan Stadium
Brazil U23s4 - 2Germany U23s
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Under-23s win with a probability of 85.14%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Germany Under-23s had a probability of 4.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Under-23s win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 4-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for a Germany Under-23s win it was 0-1 (1.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil Under-23s | Draw | Germany Under-23s |
| 85.14% | 10.13% | 4.73% |
| Both teams to score 44.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
