Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.