Premier League | Gameweek 5
Oct 17, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City1 - 0Arsenal
Reaction
Sergio Aguero escapes punishment for Sian Massey-Ellis incident
The striker's actions drew criticism on social media.
Oct 19, 14:34
Bernd Leno fires Arsenal warning to Manchester City
Arsenal goalkeeper Bernd Leno takes the positives from his side's narrow defeat at Manchester City, insisting that the Gunners have closed the gap on Pep Guardiola's men.
Oct 18, 23:58
Pep Guardiola defends Sergio Aguero over Sian Massey-Ellis incident during Arsenal clash
The Manchester City forward appeared to grab the assistant referee's shoulder after a disputed throw-in decision.
Oct 17, 22:17
Pep Guardiola pleased with "important victory" over Arsenal
Raheem Sterling's 23rd-minute goal settled the contest at the Etihad.
Oct 17, 22:03
The Match
Match Report
Pep Guardiola saw his side claim the spoils against his former assistant Mikel Arteta.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League showdown between Manchester City and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and head-to-head records.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League showdown with Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash with Arsenal.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for an Arsenal win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Arsenal |
| 73.46% | 16.34% | 10.2% |
| Both teams to score 49.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
