Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Dec 5, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Porto4 - 3Tondela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Tondela |
| 69.81% | 18.5% | 11.68% |
| Both teams to score 47.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.01% | 43.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% | 66.38% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.58% | 11.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.8% | 36.2% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.07% | 46.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.57% | 82.43% |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 69.8%
Tondela 11.68%
Draw 18.5%
| Porto | Draw | Tondela |
| 2-0 @ 12.61% 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 9.13% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.61% 5-0 @ 2.15% 5-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.5% Total : 69.8% | 1-1 @ 8.8% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.5% | 0-1 @ 4.05% 1-2 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.68% |
How you voted: Porto vs Tondela
Porto
78.3%Draw
20.3%Tondela
1.4%69
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2019 8.15pm
Jan 19, 2018 9pm
Form Guide
