Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Mirren U21s2 - 2Albion Rovers
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Albion Rovers win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between St Mirren Under-21s and Albion Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Mirren U21s 0-0 East Stirling (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Clyde | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | East Fife | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Elgin | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Forfar | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Peterhead | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Spartans | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Stenhousemuir | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Stranraer | 0 | nan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion Rovers win with a probability of 53.72%. A win for St Mirren Under-21s had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albion Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest St Mirren Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren Under-21s | Draw | Albion Rovers |
23.5% ( -0.12) | 22.77% ( -0) | 53.72% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
