Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
