Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.