Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.
