Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 4, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana2 - 0Mantova
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Salernitana and Mantova.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spezia 2-0 Salernitana
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Mantova 3-0 Cesena
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Mantova |
56.41% ( 0.49) | 21.48% ( -0.08) | 22.11% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 60.08% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.83% ( -0.16) | 38.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.56% ( -0.17) | 60.44% ( 0.17) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% ( 0.1) | 13.44% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.58% ( 0.2) | 40.42% ( -0.19) |
| Mantova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( -0.45) | 30.59% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.18% ( -0.54) | 66.82% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
Salernitana 56.41%
Mantova 22.11%
Draw 21.48%
| Salernitana | Draw | Mantova |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.63% Total : 56.41% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.11% |
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 7.30pm
