Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Virtus Entella win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Virtus Entella win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.