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Spurs logo
Premier League | Gameweek 37
Jul 19, 2020 at 4pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Leicester logo

Spurs
3 - 0
Leicester

Justin (6' og.), Kane (37', 40')
Moura (57'), Sanchez (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Evans (73')

Preview: Tottenham Hotspur vs. Leicester City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Leicester City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Tottenham Hotspur and Leicester City will both be looking to keep their European aspirations alive when they lock horns in the penultimate round of Premier League fixtures on Sunday afternoon.

Leicester still occupy the fourth and final Champions League spot despite a poor run of form, while Spurs are one point adrift of sixth-placed Wolverhampton Wanderers in the race for Europa League qualification.


Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur manager Jose Mourinho pictured on July 6, 2020© Reuters

Tottenham's dramatic derby win over Arsenal gave Jose Mourinho's men the confidence and incentive to kick on for the remainder of the campaign, and Spurs built on that win with a comfortable 3-1 triumph over Newcastle United in midweek.

Harry Kane bagged a brace to take his Premier League tally to 15 for the season, and Spurs' current seventh-placed standing may be good enough for a route into the Europa League by the end of the campaign.

Mourinho's men would have certainly been expected to be in contention for the top four at the start of the season, however, and there is no denying the fact that it has been a troublesome campaign for the Lilywhites following the elation at reaching the Champions League final last season.

Sixth spot, currently occupied by Wolves, would guarantee European football for next term and Spurs sit just one point behind the West Midlands outfit at this stage, so Mourinho's men will be desperate for Crystal Palace to pick up a result against Wolves before Spurs themselves take on Palace on the final day.

As previously mentioned, seventh may suffice for European qualification depending on the outcome of the FA Cup. Arsenal are the only team outside of the top six left in the competition, and the Gunners could seek revenge on their rivals and nab the final Europa League place should they get past Manchester City in the semis and triumph in the final.

Leicester players celebrate Ayoze Perez's goal against Sheffield United on July 16, 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Leicester's top four standing is in serious peril after an underwhelming set of results, but the Foxes are still in the top four before the penultimate round of matches.

However, Manchester United are well-poised to usurp the Foxes and only sit outside the Champions League places on goal difference, meaning that the final-day clash between Leicester and United promises to be a pivotal encounter between two sides vying for a return to Europe's elite competition.

The goal for Leicester is simple - Brendan Rodgers's men simply have to win their final two fixtures in order to bring Champions League football back to the King Power Stadium, and the Foxes will head into the clash with Spurs following a crucial 2-0 win over Sheffield United on Thursday.

Ayoze Perez and Demarai Gray both struck to further Leicester's European ambitions while denting Sheffield United's at the same time, and while the Foxes are extremely unlikely to finish lower than fifth with two games remaining, Rodgers has issued a rallying cry to his players as the fight for the final Champions League spot reaches a dramatic climax.

On a personal level, Jamie Vardy is in a strong position to collect the Golden Boot as he sits on 23 goals for the season - three more than Danny Ings and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang - and Vardy was unlucky not to make it 24 when his thunderous effort cannoned off the post in the victory over Sheffield United.

Spurs Premier League form: WLWDWW

Leicester Premier League form: DLWDLW
Leicester form (all competitions): LLWDLW


Team News

James Maddison in action for Leicester on June 20, 2020© Reuters

Tottenham right-back Serge Aurier turned out for the full 90 minutes against Newcastle despite the tragic death of his brother, but the Ivorian is currently in France with his family and may not feature for the visit of Leicester.

Lucas Moura should start despite concerns over fatigue, while Dele Alli and Eric Dier are ruled out through injury and suspension respectively.

Tanguy Ndombele's Premier League season is also over, but the midfielder was never likely to get the nod over Harry Winks, Moussa Sissoko and Giovani Lo Celso for the weekend clash.

As for Leicester, Rodgers will have to make do without Ben Chilwell and James Maddison for the final two games of the season, and Marc Albrighton is also a doubt for the Foxes.

Caglar Soyuncu will serve the second of his three-match suspension following his red card against Bournemouth, while the absence of Christian Fuchs gives Luke Thomas another run out on the left-hand side.

Demarai Gray will be hoping that his goal against Sheffield United is enough to earn him a spot in the starting lineup for the trip to North London.

Spurs possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Tanganga, Alderweireld, Sanchez, Davies; Winks, Sissoko, Lo Celso; Lucas, Kane, Son

Leicester possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Bennett, Evans, Morgan; Justin, Ndidi, Tielemans, Thomas; Gray, Vardy, Perez


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Tottenham Hotspur 2-2 Leicester City

Leicester will be fully aware that anything other than a victory opens the door for United to leapfrog them into the top four before the two sides meet on the final day of the season. However, the Foxes are now coming up against a Spurs side with a point to prove, and we expect a depleted Leicester team to come away with a point in a game where nothing less than three will suffice.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.


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Leicester City attacker Demarai Gray in action against Tottenham Hotspur on February 10, 2019
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5Arsenal105321711618
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7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
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11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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