Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Campo Cha das Padeiras (Marvila)
Uniao Santarem1 - 2Moreirense
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Uniao Santarem and Moreirense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Uniao Santarem 2-1 Estrela Amadora
Friday, August 2 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, August 2 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, October 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Uniao Santarem had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Uniao Santarem win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uniao Santarem | Draw | Moreirense |
24.37% ( 0.02) | 24.43% ( 0.01) | 51.2% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.96% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
