Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage
May 21, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Italy U20s3 - 2Brazil U20s
Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Italy Under-20s and Brazil Under-20s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Italy U20s 1-3 England U20s
Thursday, June 8 at 12pm in Under-20 World Cup
Thursday, June 8 at 12pm in Under-20 World Cup
Last Game: Brazil U20s 1-0 Colombia U20s
Wednesday, December 4 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, December 4 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Brazil Under-20s had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Brazil Under-20s win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy Under-20s | Draw | Brazil Under-20s |
52.93% ( 0.32) | 26.1% ( -0.13) | 20.97% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.24% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.63% ( 0.27) | 58.37% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( 0.21) | 78.98% ( -0.21) |
| Italy Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( 0.25) | 22.18% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.42% ( 0.37) | 55.58% ( -0.38) |
| Brazil Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.85% ( -0.04) | 43.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.58% ( -0.04) | 79.41% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Italy Under-20s 52.92%
Brazil Under-20s 20.97%
Draw 26.1%
| Italy Under-20s | Draw | Brazil Under-20s |
| 1-0 @ 14.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.97% |
